Geoffrey Seiler argues that the Nasdaq‑focused QQQ ETF should be the initial holding for investors bracing for a market downturn.
Key points
- Geoffrey Seiler recommends the QQQ ETF as a primary buy if a market crash occurs.
- He highlights two historically reliable but currently conflicting market signals, urging caution while still seeing upside in Nasdaq‑100 exposure.
In a recent Motley Fool column dated October 30, 2026, analyst Geoffrey Seiler outlines his plan to load up on the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) if the stock market experiences a sharp decline.
Seiler notes that two market signals, which he describes as "nearly 100% historically accurate," are currently at odds with each other, creating uncertainty about the direction of equities.
Why QQQ could be a first‑pick
Despite the mixed signals, Seiler suggests that QQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq‑100 index, offers exposure to a basket of large‑cap technology and growth stocks that could recover strongly after a correction.
He frames his recommendation as a first‑step position, implying that investors might add other assets later but should consider QQQ as a core holding when prices are depressed.
Conflicting market signals
The article does not provide specific price targets, timing, or quantitative analysis, and Seiler’s view reflects his personal investment perspective rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Reader questions
What is the QQQ ETF?
QQQ is the ticker for the Invesco QQQ Trust, an exchange‑traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq‑100 index, covering large‑cap technology and growth companies.
Source: fool.com
